Laboratory of Plant Forecasts and Quarantine

Head – Tetyana Oleksandrivna Galagan,

candidate of biological sciences

Phone: (044) 258-65-63

Email: lfe_ipp@mail15.com

History and achievements

The Laboratory of Forecasts was founded in 1972 at the Research Institute of the Ukrainian Academy of Sciences. Its first director was a doctor of biol. of Sciences, member-cor. NAS of Ukraine V.G. Valley In 1975, the laboratory was headed by candidate of Sciences V.P. Omelyuta, since 1989 candidate. Sciences B. F. Neskorozheny, since 1993 Doc. V.M. Chaika, from 2006 to 2015 T.M. Neverovska, and since 2015 the laboratory has been headed by Candidate Sciences A.V. Fedoreno. During this period, the laboratory carried out a large amount of research and development works related to the improvement and development of methods of forecasting the phytosanitary condition. This is a reliable basis for the further development of prognostic topics at the Institute.

Under the leadership of V. G. Dolin, in-depth studies of the biology, ecology, and morphology of blacksmith beetles, the importance of various species and groups of insects as pests of agricultural crops were conducted. The systematic index prepared and published (Dolin, 1964) included a description of 129 larval species, which accounted for 80% of the woodpecker fauna of the European part of the USSR, of which 50 were described for the first time. Based on the research conducted, the territory of Ukraine was zoned into zones of harm to wireworms. During 1970-1974, methodical aspects of forecasting soil insects were developed, their species composition depending on the rural area. cultures  Employees I.V. Grihorovych, O.M. Kravchenko, O.E. Krykun conducted classic works on the study of the Colorado beetle in Ukraine, which made it possible to justify the methods of forecasting the phenology, distribution and economic thresholds of the harmfulness of the Colorado beetle, which has not lost its relevance until now. Based on the analysis of long-term data, the zoning of the territory of Ukraine and the determination of the harmfulness zones of the winter snowdrop were carried out (O.M. Kravchenko, O.B. Zelenska, R.M. Skibinska, B.F. Neskorozheny).

The outbreak of mass reproduction of the meadow butterfly observed in Ukraine in 1975-1978 prompted the laboratory specialists V. P. Omelyuta, V. P. Kubaychuk, R. M. Skybynska, and Y. F. Krasyukov to direct their efforts to studying the biology of the pest. Research on the clarification of the ecological and physiological parameters of the dynamics of meadow butterfly populations made it possible to develop a system of phased annual and phenological forecasting.

Many years of research into the biology and ecology of the most important pests of agricultural crops enabled the laboratory team to develop the main principles of forecasting the development of harmful insects, to draw up prognostic equations for the expediency of protective measures and their scope (Omelyuta, Hryhorovych, 1981; Omelyuta, 1989).

B. F. Neskorogheny, O. B. Zelenska, and R. M. Skybynska developed long- and short-term forecast models using standard weather indicators, as well as computer topography methods for assessing and forecasting the phytosanitary state (1988-1993).

A particularly large analytical and very valuable work for the practice of plant protection was carried out by Academician of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine V.P. Vasyliev and V.P. Omelyuta with a team of scientists in preparation for the publication of reference material: "Pests of agricultural crops and forest plantations" (in three volumes, 1973-1975); "Methodological recommendations on the status of the development forecast and accounting for pests and diseases of agricultural plants", 1981; "Accounting of pests and diseases of agricultural crops", 1986; "Recommendations for determining economic thresholds of harmfulness of agricultural crop pests and their use in the practice of plant protection", 1987; "Handbook on protection of field crops", 1993.  These publications became the table books of plant protection scientists and agronomists.

Under the leadership of doc. s.-g. of Sciences V.M. Seagulls by the laboratory staff: Ph.D. O.V. Baklanova, candidate of science and technology. n. O.O. Bakhmut, V.P.Kravchenko, and R.M.Panteleychuk developed for the first time in Ukraine: regulations for the prevention of emergency situations in the phytosanitary state associated with the mass reproduction of harmful locusts, which includes a patented locust monitoring system, a long-term forecast of the status of locust populations, an operational forecast of the threat to locust agrocenoses, a list of the range of ecologically safe pesticides in sanitary and resort conditions zones of Ukraine;  the impact of climate warming on the spread and harmfulness of a complex of major pests, the impact of the termination of rural-urban  production in the conditions of the exclusion zone of the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant on the state of the populations of the main pests of rural areas. cultures, the impact of the Agricultural Reform on the phytosanitary state of the agrocenoses of Ukraine, which in turn made it possible to investigate the impact of ecological and economic factors on the distribution and harmfulness of populations of the main pests of rural areas. cultures

By V.M. Chaika The theory of the dynamics of the number of pests is substantiated, which has a significant contribution to the scientific knowledge of the patterns of cyclic fluctuations in the number of insects, and serves to provide scientific support for the forecast of pests. The formation of the phytosanitary state of Ukraine under conditions of climate warming is conceptually substantiated.   O.V. Baklanova summarized materials on the general condition of locusts in Ukraine.

In the future, the laboratory employees improved the system of monitoring and controlling the number of bread beetles, the locust complex, pests of corn, rapeseed, and apple glaze using: colored, pheromone traps, the latest technologies (DZZ and GPS navigation), which helps reduce labor costs for forecasting and saving the harvest from 7% to 50% (A.V. Fedorenko, O.O. Bakhmut, O.V. Baklanova, T.M. Neverovska, A.A. Polishchuk).

The Interactive computer program "Plant Protection" (a package of combined programs on CD media) has been created, which makes it possible to determine the feasibility of using plant protection products. It is based on combined mathematical equations that take into account the number of the pest, its EPSH, KEPSH for the entomological complex of winter wheat, sugar beet, corn, sunflower, rapeseed, and apple trees. Equations are used with correction factor to take into account the patterns of dependence between the increase in the number of populations of harmful fauna and the decrease in the yield. The program transforms operational environmental information about the current phytosanitary status into economic categories - possible crop losses (in kind or monetary terms).  The program significantly facilitates the work of agronomists in plant protection.Contributes to the preservation of 15-20% of the crop. There are no analogues in Ukraine.

The "Database of long-term data on the dynamics of the population of rural and urban areas" was formed. crops by dominant pests", which was transformed into a cartographic display with the help of computer technologies, with the aim of creating a forecast of the phytosanitary state and avoiding possible outbreaks of pests (main crops, dominant pests, all regions of Ukraine).

Since 1972, all employees of the laboratory have participated in the publication of the collection "Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas". plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine", issued by the Department of Forecasts of the State Production and Consumer Service of Ukraine. Since 1996, the laboratory has been preparing a weekly analytical survey of the phytosanitary status of agricultural crops, based on which written operational information is provided to the Presidium of the Ukrainian Academy of Sciences regarding crop threats and recommendations on optimal methods of controlling the number of harmful populations in agrocenoses of Ukraine.

Today, research continues on the formation of computer databases of statistical data on the distribution and number of major pests in Ukraine, the monitoring systems of agricultural crop pests are being improved, and the methods of forecasting the distribution and harmfulness of the main agricultural crop pests are being improved.

Purpose and tasks

The purpose of the research is to analyze the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses of Ukraine and determine the factors of its formation in modern conditions. Also, create databases of long-term weather data using computer technologies, study and analyze the dynamics of GTK, SET, SAT, etc. indicators, which will make it possible to follow the regularities of outbreaks of the number of phytophages. Develop a forecast of the development of the main harmful organisms for the planning of protective measures, and timely prevention and elimination of situations associated with outbreaks of their number.

The main areas of planned research:

formation of computer databases of statistical data on the distribution and number of major pests in Ukraine;

improvement of crop pest monitoring systems: locust, meadow moth, winter moth, corn moth, common beet weevil, common cabbage looper, lepidopteran garden pests;

improvement of methods of forecasting the distribution and harmfulness of the main pests of agricultural crops;

development of algorithms for computer forecasting of possible crop losses and economic assessment of the effectiveness of plant protection.

Main developments

Practical developments:

monitoring system of the locust complex of Ukraine;

monitoring of winter moth, corn butterfly, garden pests using pheromone traps;

an improved system for monitoring and controlling the number of bread beetles;

forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses of Ukraine and recommendations for the protection of agricultural plants from harmful organisms;

computer forecast of possible crop losses of winter wheat, sugar beet, corn, sunflower, rapeseed, soybean, apple due to a complex of pests and economic evaluation of the feasibility of chemical crop protection.

Job prospects:

computer forecasting of the degree of crop threat from the main pests of field and garden crops and the economic feasibility of using the developed plant protection systems;

prevention of emergency situations in the phytosanitary state associated with the mass reproduction of pests.

List of main scientific works

Printed works of the laboratory of forecasts in 2014.

1. O.I. Greyhound; S.V. Retman; V.M. Gull; T.M. Neverovskaya; V.P. Konverska; O.O. Bakhmut; Fedorenko A.V. Harmful scoops // Quarantine and plant protection.-2014.- №6 P.11-13.

2. V. M. Chaika, T. M. Neverovska Factors of the dynamics of the number of insects // Collection of Plant Protection and Quarantine. 2014. Issue 60

3. V.M. Chaika, I.V. Havey, T.M. Neverovska //Collection Protection and Quarantine of Plants. 2014. Issue 60

4. Chaika V.M., Baklanova O.V., Neverovska T.M. Saranov // Proposal 2014

5. O.I. Borzykh, S.V. Retman, T.M. Neverovska Possible threats to winter crops in the spring / Agrarian week

6. O.I. Borzykh, S.V. Retman, T.M. Neverovska, O.O.Bakhmut, A.V.Fedorenko Phytosanitary condition of winter crops in March, what to do in spring// Agrobusiness today 2013, No. 8 p.37-41.

7. T.M. Neverovska, V.M. Chaika, O. Petryk Analysis of the phytosanitary status of apple orchards and the forecast of the development of some pests in 2014 // Agrobusiness today.

8. Neverovska T.M. Plum centipede

9. Neverovska T.M., Bakhmut O.O., Fedorenko A.V. Meadow butterfly //Agrobusiness today

10. T.M. Neverovska, A.V. Fedorenko, O.O. Bakhmut Possible threats to winter rapeseed crops in autumn //Agrobusiness today

11. T.M. Neverovska, A.V. Fedorenko, O.O. Bakhmut Operationally about the health of crops //Agrobusiness today #19 (290) October 2014

12. Fedorenko A.V. Forecast of the number of major pests of cereal ear crops from a number of antoptera // Abstracts of reports of the international scientific and practical conference dedicated to the 70th anniversary of the founding of the Department of Entomology named after Prof. M.P. Dyadechka, May 20-23, 2014 (Kyiv). P. 115.

13. Chaika V.M. Saranovi / Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2014 - Kyiv, 2014. - P.15-18

14. Chaika V.M. Omnivore pests Gnawing bollworms (winter, weevils), black beetles and woodpeckers, May and June beetles, sand midge, southern gray weevil / Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural and urban areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2014 - Kyiv, 2014. - P.26-32.

15. Neverovska T.M. Pests of fruits: apple fruit borer, scurvy scale, Californian, apple fruit weevil, gray bud weevil, apple flower borer, leaf beetle, apple leaf beetle (copper), herbivorous mites: brown and red fruit, gall and common, aphids: apple green, plum pollinated, and black cherry, worm, cherry fly // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2014 - Kyiv, 2014. - P. 158-170.

16. Bakhmut O.O. Mouse-like rodents // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2014 - Kyiv, 2014 - P.12-15.

17. Fedorenko A.V. Pests and diseases of grain crops: bread beetles (kuzuz, krasun, cruciferous), bread thorn, // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in Ukrainian farms in 2014 - Kyiv, pp. 33-38

18. Fedorenko A.V. Pests and diseases of alfalfa. Bulbous weevils, gray southern and beet weevils, Phytonomus, whitefly bugs), // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2014 - Kyiv, pp. 79-80

Printed works of the laboratory of forecasts in 2015.

1.O.I. Borzykh, S.V. Retman, T.M. Neverovska, V.M. Chaika, A.V. Fedorenko, O.O. Bakhmut, A.V. Kotova Forecast of the development of pests and diseases // Agrobusiness today, 2015, No. 6, pp. 42-50

2.O.I. Borzykh, S.V. Retman, T.M. Neverovska, V.M. Chaika, A.V. Fedorenko, O.O. Bakhmut, A.V. Kotova, L.A. Pylypenko. The phytosanitary state of agrocenoses in Ukraine under climate change // Scientific collection of agriculture., 2015, No. 1, pp. 93-97

3. O.I. Borzykh, S.V. Retman, T.M. Neverovska, A.V. Fedorenko, O.O. Bakhmut, A.V. Kotova Protection of winter crops for the 2015 harvest // Agrobusiness today #19(314) October 2015 p.22-23

4.T.M.Neverovska, V.A.Hrodskyi Dominant types of mites on different varieties of apple //Agrobusiness today No. 19(314) October 2015 p.24

5. T.M. Neverovska, V.P. Konverska, O.A. Hrykun Corn enemies: development forecast and biological protection // Proposal No. 8-9 2015

6. T.M. Neverovska, A.V. Fedorenko, .O. Bakhmut, A.V. Kotova Phytosanitary status 2015: analysis and forecasts // Proposal No. 3 2015

7. T.M. Neverovska, A.V. Fedorenko, .O. Bakhmut, A.V. Kotova Phytosanitary status 2015: analysis and forecasts // Proposal No. 4 2015

8. Chaika V.M. Saranovi / Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in Ukrainian farms in 2015 - Kyiv, 2015. - P.20-25

10. Chaika V.M. Omnivore pests Gnawing bollworms (winter, weevils), black beetles and woodpeckers, May and June beetles, sand midge, southern gray weevil / Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural and urban areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2015 - Kyiv, 2015. - P.12-14.

11. Neverovska T.M. Pests of fruits: apple fruit borer, scurvy scale, Californian, apple fruit weevil, gray bud weevil, apple flower borer, leaf beetle, apple leaf beetle (copper), herbivorous mites: brown and red fruit, gall and common, aphids: apple green, plum pollinated, and black cherry, worm, cherry fly // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2015 - Kyiv, 2015. - P. 129-142.

12. Bakhmut O.O. Mouse-like rodents // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2015 - Kyiv, 2015 - P.9-11.

13. Fedorenko A.V. Pests and diseases of grain crops: bread beetles (kuzuz, krasun, cruciferous), bread thorn, // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2014 - Kyiv, pp. 26-30

14. Fedorenko A.V. Pests and diseases of alfalfa. Bulbous weevils, gray southern and beet weevils, Phytonomus, whitefly bugs), // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2014 - Kyiv, pp. 69-75

15. O.I. Borzykh, S.V. Retman, T.M. Neverovska Possible threats to winter crops in the spring / Agrarian week

Printed works of the laboratory of forecasts in 2016.

1. Neverovska T.M. Pests of fruit: apple fruit borer, scales (como-like, Californian), apple fruit weevil, gray bud weevil, apple flower eater, beetle and codling moth, apple and pear leaf aphids (copper), herbivorous mites (brown and red fruit, gall, common), aphids (apple green, plum powdery, black cherry), worm, cherry fly // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2016 - Kyiv, 2016. - P. 129-143.

2. Bakhmut O.O. Mouse-like rodents // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2016 - Kyiv, 2016. - P.7-8.

3. Bakhmut O.O. Gophers // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2016 - Kyiv, 2016 - P.8-9.

4. Bakhmut O.O. Pests of clover // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2016 - Kyiv, 2016 - P.70-71.

5. Fedorenko A.V. Pests and diseases of grain crops: bread beetles (kuzzna, krasun, cruciferous), bread bug, // Prognosis of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2016 - Kyiv, pp. 25-27.

6. Fedorenko A.V. Pests and diseases of alfalfa. Bulbous weevils, phytonomus, stilt bugs), // Prognosis of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2016 - Kyiv, pp. 64-66.

7. O.I. Borzykh, S.V. Retman, T.M. Neverovska, A.V. Fedorenko. Protection of winter crops for the 2017 harvest // Agricultural Week No. 10(313), October 2016, pp. 48-50

Printed works of the laboratory of forecasts in 2017.

1. Fedorenko A.V., Bakhmut O.O., Neverovska T.M. Forecast of the phytosanitary status of grain ear crops //Collection Protection and Quarantine of Plants. 2016. Vol. 62

2. Fedorenko A.V. Pests and diseases of grain crops: bread beetles (kuzzna, krasun, cruciferous), bread bug, // Prognosis of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2017 - Kyiv, pp. 25-27.

3. Fedorenko A.V. Pests and diseases of alfalfa. Bulbous weevils, phytonomus, stilt bugs), // Prognosis of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2017 - Kyiv, pp. 64-66.

4. Neverovska T.M. Pests of fruit: apple fruit borer, scales (como-like, Californian), apple fruit weevil, gray bud weevil, apple flower eater, beetle and codling moth, apple and pear leaf aphids (copper), herbivorous mites (brown and red fruit, gall, common), aphids (apple green, plum powdery, black cherry), worm, cherry fly // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2017 - Kyiv, 2016. - P. 129-143.

5. Neverovska T.M. The harmfulness of insects in an orchard // Proposal 2017, No. 4, p. 148-151

6. Neverovska T.M. The main pests of the orchard: seasonal forecast// Agribusiness today 2017, No. 7- p.78-68.

7. Bakhmut O.O. Mouse-like rodents and gophers // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2017 - Kyiv, 2017. - P.7-9.

8. Bakhmut O.O. Pests of clover // Forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses and recommendations for the protection of rural areas. plants from pests, diseases and weeds in the farms of Ukraine in 2017 - Kyiv, 2017 - P.70-71.

9. Fedorenko A.V. Phytosanitary status of field crops and forecast for 2017. // Farmer 2017, No. 8, pp. 21-25.

10. Fedorenko A.V. Autumn dangers. // Farmer 2017, No. 10, pp. 15-18.

Offered services on the following issues:

monitoring system of the most dangerous pests of agricultural crops;

forecast of the phytosanitary state of agrocenoses of Ukraine and planning of protective measures;

computer forecast of possible losses of the winter wheat crop from a complex of pests and economic evaluation of the feasibility of chemical protection of the crop.